Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.258136 0.297800 0.341293 0.392495 0.451094 0.516037 0.593447
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.199736 0.252242 0.314930 0.395167 0.495026 0.615104 0.770363
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.156892 0.215293 0.290661 0.394767 0.534552 0.715452 0.967053
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.125725 0.186386 0.270528 0.395227 0.574756 0.823229 1.192543
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.102988 0.164080 0.254695 0.398022 0.618060 0.941929 1.453417
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.087280 0.148687 0.245611 0.408426 0.673596 1.086532 1.775822
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.072587 0.131740 0.230737 0.406707 0.709589 1.206694 2.080298
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.062934 0.121161 0.224059 0.416790 0.765878 1.367164 2.474887
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.052942 0.107857 0.210087 0.411371 0.794057 1.484059 2.813142
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.046324 0.099514 0.203472 0.417914 0.844398 1.646651 3.256908
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.039025 0.088281 0.189211 0.407022 0.859473 1.746026 3.597326
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.035364 0.083911 0.187820 0.421557 0.926851 1.954571 4.179525
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.032166 0.080027 0.186989 0.437666 1.001309 2.190511 4.857848
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.028172 0.073477 0.179165 0.437128 1.040129 2.359178 5.422592
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.024635 0.067279 0.170996 0.434335 1.073485 2.521234 5.998270
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.021721 0.062023 0.164081 0.433254 1.110624 2.697160 6.631945
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.019373 0.057753 0.158798 0.435233 1.155445 2.897243 7.351799
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.017719 0.055041 0.157005 0.445833 1.223507 3.162158 8.266051
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.015738 0.050944 0.150753 0.443461 1.257819 3.349946 9.018545
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.014485 0.048745 0.149324 0.454079 1.328419 3.638862 10.069574
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.012823 0.044894 0.142443 0.447961 1.352161 3.810447 10.840528
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.011756 0.042730 0.140146 0.454907 1.414093 4.092412 11.948613
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.010305 0.038929 0.132108 0.442979 1.419117 4.220228 12.652423